Gold prices fell in the early hours of Wednesday morning in Asia, as the Greenback rallied and the yield on 10-year Treasury notes increased. The newest employment data from the United States, which is expected later in the week, will also be a major topic of discussion.
By 12:38 a.m. Eastern Time, gold futures were up 0.32 percent to $1,755.30. (4:38 AM GMT). The Dollar, which often moves in the opposite direction of gold, nudged up on Wednesday and stayed near its all-time highs for the year 2021, while the fundamental 10-year Treasury yield in the United States ticked higher.
This Friday’s employment figures, which will include non-farm payrolls, will be crucial in deciding when the Federal Reserve will start inventory downsizing, which is currently scheduled to begin in December. According to Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, supply constraints are continuing to run the majority of the current rise in inflation and will lessen soon. He went on to say that the Federal Reserve is on the verge of initiating asset reductions.
According to statistics published on Tuesday, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for services across the Country was 54.9 in September, while the non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) from the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) was 61.9. Conversely, sales of gold items at the Perth Mint increased by almost 83 percent in September, reaching their top point since April 2021, while sales of silver commodities increased by approximately 23 percent.
Banking Systems Raw Material Purchases
The Federal Bank of Poland’s governor, Adam Glapinski, stated on Tuesday that the institution could purchase additional 100 tons of gold for its stockpiles in 2022. In the Asia-Pacific region, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announced its government decision earlier in the day, increasing interest rates to 0.50 percent from 0.25 percent the previous month. It is expected that the Reserve Bank of India would make its judgment on Friday. Silver and palladium fell 0.4 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively, while platinum slipped 0.2 percent to $960.11, according to the London Bullion Market Association.
Technical Outlook of Gold
XAU/USD CHART. Source: Tradingview.com
Gold has decisively broken through critical support between $1748/$1749, where the former day’s low, pivot level one-day S1, Fibonacci 23.6 percent one-month, and Fibonacci 38.2 percent one-week meet, as well as the former day’s high and pivot point one-day S1. As long as this level is not breached, the base for a rapid decline towards the next negative objective at $1738, which is the intersection of the Fibonacci 61.8 percent one-week and pivot point one-day S2 levels, has been created.
If the negative trend continues to build, gold dealers will go for the pivot one-week S1 at $1733, which is currently at $1733. Gold bulls, on the other hand, will need to hit their stride above the previously mentioned crucial support, which is now opposition at $1749. The next significant barrier will be placed around $1754, which is the central point of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and one-week moving averages. Higher up, the Fibonacci 38.2 percent one-day at $1758 might put a crimp in the negative commitment on the path to recovery, putting the market at risk of a correction.
The SMA100 four-hour at $1760 could provide slight support, but if gold bulls can break over this level, a major barrier at $1764 will appear which would be the threshold to overcome for the bulls. Upon reaching that level, the prior week’s high coincides with the Fibonacci 38.2 percent one-month retracement level.